Value bet: Forge to win @ 1.69 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultForge to win ✓64% · @1.69
Double chanceForge or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Forge vs Supra du Quebec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 20 August the Canadian Premier League brings Forge against Supra du Quebec at Tim Hortons Field. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Forge are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 28 matches; Supra du Quebec are 4th (among the top four) with 38. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Forge, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cavalry FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Supra du Quebec, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlético Ottawa, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Jul 2026) it ended Supra du Quebec 1–2 Forge. The last 2 head-to-heads: Forge 2 wins, Supra du Quebec 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forge 2.0 xG, Supra du Quebec 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forge 64%, draw 22%, Supra du Quebec 14%.
Lower-risk option: Forge or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Forge to win @1.69 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forge64%fair 1.56 · @1.69
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.65
Supra du Quebec14%fair 7.31 · @4.45
2.77Expected goals
1.97Forge xG
0.80Supra du Quebec xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Forge 2.0 – 0.8 Supra du Quebec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
On our numbers Forge have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Supra du Quebec 14%.
How many goals will there be in Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our predicted score is Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Forge vs Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Tim Hortons Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
