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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlético Ottawa v York United: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · TD Place Stadium
2–1
FT
Atlético Ottawa 63%Draw 17%York United 20% Expected goals 2.23 – 1.16
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
1

Value bet: Atlético Ottawa to win @ 1.82 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAtlético Ottawa to win ✓63% · @1.82
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.28

Atlético Ottawa vs York United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Ottawa welcome York United to TD Place Stadium for a Canadian Premier League fixture on Saturday 29 August (00:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 28 matches; York United are 6th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Atlético Ottawa, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cavalry FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

York United, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Supra du Quebec, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Atlético Ottawa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for York United.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Atlético Ottawa 1–1 York United. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atlético Ottawa 0 wins, York United 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Ottawa 2.2 xG, York United 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Ottawa 63%, draw 17%, York United 20%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Atlético Ottawa to win @1.82 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlético Ottawa63%fair 1.59 · @1.82
Draw17%fair 5.82 · @3.90
York United20%fair 4.99 · @3.50
3.38Expected goals
2.23Atlético Ottawa xG
1.16York United xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 2.2 – 1.2 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético Ottawa to win ✓63%1.591.82 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.42
Draw no betAtlético Ottawa (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapAtlético Ottawa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.771.65
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.341.25
First team to scoreAtlético Ottawa to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultAtlético Ottawa ahead at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético Ottawa / FT Atlético Ottawa ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.28–

Recent results

Atlético Ottawa – last 6

LWWDWL
22 Aug@ Cavalry FC1–3L
20 Augvs Vancouver FC4–0W
16 Aug@ Supra du Quebec2–1W
12 Augvs Supra du Quebec3–3D
8 Augvs HFX Wanderers FC2–1W
1 Aug@ Vancouver FC1–3L
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

York United – last 6

DWDLLD
23 Augvs Supra du Quebec1–1D
16 Augvs HFX Wanderers FC4–3W
8 Aug@ Pacific FC1–1D
2 Aug@ Cavalry FC0–5L
26 Julvs Forge1–3L
18 Jul@ Atlético Ottawa1–1D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Jul 2026Atlético Ottawa v York United1–1
2 May 2026York United v Atlético Ottawa4–1
Atlético Ottawa vs York United head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

More Canadian Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and York United 20%.

How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Atlético Ottawa vs York United?

Atlético Ottawa vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.