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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

York United v Pacific FC: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · York Lions Stadium
3–4
FT
York United 55%Draw 23%Pacific FC 22% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.32
78%
Betarazi pick

York United or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: York United to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultYork United to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceYork United or draw ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51

York United vs Pacific FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

York United welcome Pacific FC to York Lions Stadium for a Canadian Premier League fixture on Sunday 27 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, York United are 6th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 28 matches; Pacific FC are 8th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

York United, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Vancouver FC, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Pacific FC, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Vancouver FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Sep 2026) it ended York United 3–3 Pacific FC. The last 3 head-to-heads: York United 1 win, Pacific FC 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give York United 2.1 xG, Pacific FC 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – York United 55%, draw 23%, Pacific FC 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: York United or draw (78%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: York United to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was York United or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: York United 2–1 Pacific FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

York United55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
Pacific FC22%fair 4.55 · @3.00
3.45Expected goals
2.13York United xG
1.32Pacific FC xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: York United 2.1 – 1.3 Pacific FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYork United to win ✗55%1.821.95 ▲
Double chanceYork United or draw ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.44
Draw no betYork United (draw no bet) ✗71%1.40–
Asian handicapPacific FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
First team to scoreYork United to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultYork United ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT York United / FT York United ✗36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.51–

Recent results

York United – last 6

DLWDDL
24 Sep@ Vancouver FC3–3D
20 Sep@ HFX Wanderers FC1–4L
13 Sepvs Vancouver FC3–1W
10 Sepvs Pacific FC3–3D
6 Sep@ Forge1–1D
29 Aug@ Atlético Ottawa1–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Pacific FC – last 6

DLDDWL
20 Sepvs Vancouver FC1–1D
13 Sepvs Cavalry FC0–1L
10 Sep@ York United3–3D
5 Sep@ Atlético Ottawa0–0D
30 Augvs HFX Wanderers FC4–3W
23 Aug@ Forge0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Sep 2026York United v Pacific FC3–3
8 Aug 2026Pacific FC v York United1–1
17 May 2026Pacific FC v York United0–1
York United vs Pacific FC head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

More Canadian Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for York United vs Pacific FC?

Our pick is York United or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win York United vs Pacific FC?

On our numbers York United have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pacific FC 22%.

How many goals will there be in York United vs Pacific FC?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for York United vs Pacific FC?

Our predicted score is York United 2–1 Pacific FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is York United vs Pacific FC?

York United vs Pacific FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.