Atlético Ottawa 13%Draw 22%Cavalry FC 65%Expected goals 0.83 – 2.04
87%
Betarazi pick
Cavalry FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Cavalry FC to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCavalry FC to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceCavalry FC or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cavalry FC travel to face Atlético Ottawa on Thursday 1 October in the Canadian Premier League, with TD Place Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 28 matches; Cavalry FC are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over HFX Wanderers FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Cavalry FC, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Supra du Quebec, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cavalry FC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Atlético Ottawa.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Cavalry FC 3–1 Atlético Ottawa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Atlético Ottawa 0 wins, Cavalry FC 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Ottawa 0.8 xG, Cavalry FC 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Ottawa 13%, draw 22%, Cavalry FC 65%.
Lower-risk option: Cavalry FC or draw (87%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Cavalry FC to win @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cavalry FC or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Ottawa 0–2 Cavalry FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Ottawa13%fair 7.51 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
Cavalry FC65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
2.87Expected goals
0.83Atlético Ottawa xG
2.04Cavalry FC xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 0.8 – 2.0 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Cavalry FC or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cavalry FC 65%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 0–2 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
