York United 14%Draw 20%Cavalry FC 66%Expected goals 0.99 – 2.31
66%
Betarazi pick
Cavalry FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCavalry FC to win ✗66% · @1.55
Double chanceCavalry FC or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.27
York United vs Cavalry FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Canadian Premier League brings York United against Cavalry FC at York Lions Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, York United are 6th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 28 matches; Cavalry FC are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
York United, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Pacific FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Cavalry FC, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atlético Ottawa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cavalry FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for York United.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Cavalry FC 5–0 York United. The last 2 head-to-heads: York United 0 wins, Cavalry FC 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give York United 1.0 xG, Cavalry FC 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – York United 14%, draw 20%, Cavalry FC 66%.
Lower-risk option: Cavalry FC or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cavalry FC to win (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: York United 0–2 Cavalry FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
York United14%fair 7.22 · @4.20
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Cavalry FC66%fair 1.51 · @1.55
3.30Expected goals
0.99York United xG
2.31Cavalry FC xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–18%
0–38%
1–38%
From our goals model: York United 1.0 – 2.3 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for York United vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Cavalry FC to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win York United vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers York United have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cavalry FC 66%.
How many goals will there be in York United vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York United vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is York United 0–2 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is York United vs Cavalry FC?
York United vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
