Forge vs York United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 12 October the Canadian Premier League brings Forge against York United at Tim Hortons Field. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Forge are 2nd, among the top four, on 58 points after 28 matches; York United are 6th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 28 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Forge, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Pacific FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
York United, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Supra du Quebec, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Forge, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for York United.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended Forge 1–1 York United. The last 3 head-to-heads: Forge 2 wins, York United 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Forge 2.3 xG, York United 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Forge 70%, draw 19%, York United 11%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Forge to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Forge 2–0 York United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Forge70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @4.40
York United11%fair 8.97 · @6.50
3.14Expected goals
2.32Forge xG
0.82York United xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Forge 2.3 – 0.8 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Forge to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Forge vs York United?
On our numbers Forge have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and York United 11%.
How many goals will there be in Forge vs York United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forge vs York United?
Our predicted score is Forge 2–0 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Forge vs York United?
Forge vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tim Hortons Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
