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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tre Fiori v Virtus: numbers & prediction

Coppa Titano · San-Marino

Tre Fiori

WDLD
1–0
FT

Virtus

WDWW
Tre Fiori 34%Draw 25%Virtus 41% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.37
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultVirtus to win ✗41% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.83

Tre Fiori vs Virtus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tre Fiori welcome Virtus for a Coppa Titano fixture on Wednesday 18 March (20:45 WAT).

Current form

Tre Fiori, last 4: WDLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Cailungo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Virtus, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juvenes Dogana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Virtus, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.3 for Tre Fiori.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Virtus 0–0 Tre Fiori.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tre Fiori 1.1 xG, Virtus 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Fiori 34%, draw 25%, Virtus 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Fiori 1–1 Virtus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tre Fiori34%fair 2.97 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.40
Virtus41%fair 2.42 · @2.35
2.49Expected goals
1.12Tre Fiori xG
1.37Virtus xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%

From our goals model: Tre Fiori 1.1 – 1.4 Virtus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVirtus to win ✗41%2.422.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.88–
Draw no betVirtus (draw no bet) ✗55%1.82–
Asian handicapTre Fiori +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreVirtus to score first ✗50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Virtus / FT Virtus ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11%8.83–

Recent results

Tre Fiori – last 4

WDLD
8 Marvs Cailungo3–2W
4 Mar@ Virtus0–0D
22 Febvs Tre Penne0–2L
15 Feb@ Folgore2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Virtus – last 4

WDWW
8 Marvs Juvenes Dogana2–0W
4 Marvs Tre Fiori0–0D
22 Feb@ Faetano2–0W
15 Febvs Fiorentino3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Virtus v Tre Fiori0–0
Tre Fiori vs Virtus head-to-head page →

More Coppa Titano predictions

League hub
FT Juvenes Dogana1 La Fiorita2 121%4.75X27%3.75252%1.57 0.8–1.3xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 58%@1.90 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tre Fiori vs Virtus?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Tre Fiori vs Virtus?

On our numbers Tre Fiori have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Virtus 41%.

How many goals will there be in Tre Fiori vs Virtus?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tre Fiori vs Virtus?

Our predicted score is Tre Fiori 1–1 Virtus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tre Fiori vs Virtus?

Tre Fiori vs Virtus (Coppa Titano) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.