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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blacktown City v St. George Saints: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · Landen Stadium
2–1
FT
Blacktown City 46%Draw 24%St. George Saints 31% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.22
63%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
1

Value bet: Blacktown City to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultBlacktown City to win ✓46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.47

Blacktown City vs St. George Saints: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 10 May: Blacktown City v St. George Saints in the New South Wales NPL, played at Landen Stadium.

Current form

Blacktown City, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with UNSW, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

St. George Saints, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Western Sydney Wanderers U23, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Blacktown City, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for St. George Saints.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blacktown City 1.7 xG, St. George Saints 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blacktown City 46%, draw 24%, St. George Saints 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.42.
  • Price worth noting: Blacktown City to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blacktown City 1–1 St. George Saints. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blacktown City46%fair 2.18 · @2.35
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.55
St. George Saints31%fair 3.26 · @2.55
2.94Expected goals
1.72Blacktown City xG
1.22St. George Saints xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: Blacktown City 1.7 – 1.2 St. George Saints expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlacktown City to win ✓46%2.182.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.42
Draw no betBlacktown City (draw no bet) ✓60%1.67–
Asian handicapSt. George Saints +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.591.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
First team to scoreBlacktown City to score first ✓55%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blacktown City / FT Blacktown City ✓30%3.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.47–

Recent results

Blacktown City – last 6

DWDLDL
2 May@ UNSW2–2D
26 Aprvs NWS Spirit1–0W
19 Apr@ Sydney FC U232–2D
12 Aprvs Wollongong Wolves1–3L
4 Apr@ St George City FA2–2D
29 Marvs SD Raiders1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

St. George Saints – last 6

LLLLLL
2 Mayvs Western Sydney Wanderers U230–4L
26 Apr@ APIA Leichhardt Tigers1–2L
18 Apr@ SD Raiders0–1L
12 Apr@ Sydney FC U232–4L
5 Apr@ Rockdale City Suns0–3L
28 Marvs NWS Spirit0–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Blacktown City and St. George Saints.

Blacktown City vs St. George Saints head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blacktown City vs St. George Saints?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Blacktown City vs St. George Saints?

On our numbers Blacktown City have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and St. George Saints 31%.

How many goals will there be in Blacktown City vs St. George Saints?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blacktown City vs St. George Saints?

Our predicted score is Blacktown City 1–1 St. George Saints, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Blacktown City vs St. George Saints?

Blacktown City vs St. George Saints (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Landen Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.