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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

NWS Spirit v APIA Leichhardt Tigers: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · Christie Park
NWS Spirit 25%Draw 22%APIA Leichhardt Tigers 53% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.79
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓53% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.40

NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:30 WAT, Saturday 30 May: NWS Spirit v APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the New South Wales NPL, played at Christie Park.

Current form

NWS Spirit, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sutherland Sharks, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Marconi Stallions, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours APIA Leichhardt Tigers, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for NWS Spirit.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Feb 2026) it ended APIA Leichhardt Tigers 3–2 NWS Spirit.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NWS Spirit 1.2 xG, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – NWS Spirit 25%, draw 22%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 53%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: NWS Spirit 1–1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

NWS Spirit25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @4.00
APIA Leichhardt Tigers53%fair 1.88 · @1.77
3.03Expected goals
1.23NWS Spirit xG
1.79APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
65%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: NWS Spirit 1.2 – 1.8 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓53%1.881.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓65%1.531.45
Draw no betAPIA Leichhardt Tigers (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapNWS Spirit +1 (Asian handicap)64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.25
First team to scoreAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to score first56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✗31%3.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.40–

Recent results

NWS Spirit – last 6

LLDWLL
23 May@ Sutherland Sharks0–1L
16 Mayvs Marconi Stallions0–3L
9 May@ SD Raiders0–0D
2 Mayvs Manly United2–1W
26 Apr@ Blacktown City0–1L
18 Aprvs Sydney United2–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6

DWWWWD
24 Mayvs Marconi Stallions1–1D
9 Mayvs Sydney United2–1W
2 May@ SD Raiders3–2W
26 Aprvs St. George Saints2–1W
19 Aprvs Sydney Olympic4–1W
11 Apr@ UNSW1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026APIA Leichhardt Tigers v NWS Spirit3–2
NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

On our numbers NWS Spirit have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 22% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 53%.

How many goals will there be in NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our predicted score is NWS Spirit 1–1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

NWS Spirit vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Christie Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.