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Wollongong Wolves v APIA Leichhardt Tigers: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · WIN Stadium
Wollongong Wolves 20%Draw 23%APIA Leichhardt Tigers 57% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.81
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓57% · @1.68
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓80% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

09:00 WAT, Saturday 13 June: Wollongong Wolves v APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the New South Wales NPL, played at WIN Stadium.

Current form

Wollongong Wolves, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Marconi Stallions, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Manly United, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours APIA Leichhardt Tigers, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Wollongong Wolves.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–0 Wollongong Wolves.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Wollongong Wolves 1.1 xG, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Wollongong Wolves 20%, draw 23%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 57%.
  • Lower-risk option: APIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw (80%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wollongong Wolves 1–1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Wollongong Wolves20%fair 4.88 · @4.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.75
APIA Leichhardt Tigers57%fair 1.76 · @1.68
2.88Expected goals
1.07Wollongong Wolves xG
1.81APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
1–36%

From our goals model: Wollongong Wolves 1.1 – 1.8 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✓57%1.761.68
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓80%1.261.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.57
Draw no betAPIA Leichhardt Tigers (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapWollongong Wolves +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.281.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to score first ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✓40%2.49–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Wollongong Wolves – last 6

LLWWDD
7 Jun@ Marconi Stallions0–1L
30 May@ UNSW0–1L
24 Mayvs St. George Saints2–0W
16 May@ Manly United1–0W
9 May@ Western Sydney Wanderers U230–0D
3 Mayvs Rockdale City Suns2–2D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6

WWDWWW
6 Junvs Manly United2–0W
30 May@ NWS Spirit2–1W
24 Mayvs Marconi Stallions1–1D
9 Mayvs Sydney United2–1W
2 May@ SD Raiders3–2W
26 Aprvs St. George Saints2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026APIA Leichhardt Tigers v Wollongong Wolves2–0
Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

On our numbers Wollongong Wolves have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 57%.

How many goals will there be in Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our predicted score is Wollongong Wolves 1–1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Wollongong Wolves vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at WIN Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.