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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sutherland Sharks v APIA Leichhardt Tigers: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · Seymour Shaw Park

Sutherland Sharks

WWLWW
3–2
FT

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

LWWWW
Sutherland Sharks 24%Draw 24%APIA Leichhardt Tigers 52% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.66
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✗52% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:30 WAT, Saturday 4 July: Sutherland Sharks v APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the New South Wales NPL, played at Seymour Shaw Park.

Current form

Sutherland Sharks, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over UNSW, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rockdale City Suns, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2–1 Sutherland Sharks.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sutherland Sharks 1.2 xG, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sutherland Sharks 24%, draw 24%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 52%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutherland Sharks 1–1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sutherland Sharks24%fair 4.14 · @4.20
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.60
APIA Leichhardt Tigers52%fair 1.92 · @1.70
2.89Expected goals
1.23Sutherland Sharks xG
1.66APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Sutherland Sharks 1.2 – 1.7 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✗52%1.921.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.53
Draw no betAPIA Leichhardt Tigers (draw no bet) ✗68%1.46–
Asian handicapSutherland Sharks +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.551.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.20–
First team to scoreAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Sutherland Sharks – last 6

WWLWWW
27 Jun@ UNSW3–1W
20 Jun@ Western Sydney Wanderers U233–0W
13 Junvs Blacktown City1–2L
6 Jun@ St. George Saints2–1W
31 May@ Sydney United1–0W
23 Mayvs NWS Spirit1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6

LWWWWD
28 Junvs Rockdale City Suns0–2L
21 Jun@ Blacktown City3–1W
13 Jun@ Wollongong Wolves2–0W
6 Junvs Manly United2–0W
30 May@ NWS Spirit2–1W
24 Mayvs Marconi Stallions1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Mar 2026APIA Leichhardt Tigers v Sutherland Sharks2–1
Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

FT Western Sydney Wanderers U232 Sydney Olympic1 150%2.15X22%3.55228%2.85 2.1–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT UNSW3 Sydney FC U232 147%1.91X24%3.50229%3.45 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Manly United1 SD Raiders0 145%2.05X25%3.35230%3.20 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

On our numbers Sutherland Sharks have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 24% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 52%.

How many goals will there be in Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our predicted score is Sutherland Sharks 1–1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Sutherland Sharks vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Seymour Shaw Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.