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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UNSW v APIA Leichhardt Tigers: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · The Village Green

UNSW

LWWLD
1–1
FT

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

WWWWW
UNSW 18%Draw 20%APIA Leichhardt Tigers 62% Expected goals 1.09 – 2.08
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✗62% · @1.35
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:15 WAT, Saturday 11 April: UNSW v APIA Leichhardt Tigers in the New South Wales NPL, played at The Village Green.

Current form

UNSW, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NWS Spirit, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

APIA Leichhardt Tigers, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Western Sydney Wanderers U23, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours APIA Leichhardt Tigers, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for UNSW.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UNSW 1.1 xG, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UNSW 18%, draw 20%, APIA Leichhardt Tigers 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNSW 1–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UNSW18%fair 5.59 · @6.50
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.80
APIA Leichhardt Tigers62%fair 1.61 · @1.35
3.18Expected goals
1.09UNSW xG
2.08APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: UNSW 1.1 – 2.1 APIA Leichhardt Tigers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to win ✗62%1.611.35
Double chanceAPIA Leichhardt Tigers or draw ✓82%1.221.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.611.55
Draw no betAPIA Leichhardt Tigers (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapAPIA Leichhardt Tigers -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.63–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.27–
First team to scoreAPIA Leichhardt Tigers to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultAPIA Leichhardt Tigers ahead at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT APIA Leichhardt Tigers / FT APIA Leichhardt Tigers ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

UNSW – last 6

LWWLDL
4 Apr@ NWS Spirit1–2L
28 Marvs St George City FA5–0W
20 Mar@ Sydney FC U232–0W
14 Mar@ Sutherland Sharks0–1L
7 Marvs Marconi Stallions2–2D
28 Feb@ St. George Saints0–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6

WWWWWW
3 Aprvs Western Sydney Wanderers U234–1W
27 Mar@ Sydney FC U232–0W
21 Marvs Sutherland Sharks2–1W
14 Mar@ Rockdale City Suns1–0W
7 Marvs Blacktown City3–2W
28 Febvs Wollongong Wolves2–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between UNSW and APIA Leichhardt Tigers.

UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

FT Sutherland Sharks3 Rockdale City Suns1 137%2.95X25%3.45239%2.10 1.6–1.4xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.67 ✗
FT Sydney Olympic0 Manly United1 133%2.80X25%3.20243%2.33 1.3–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Marconi Stallions6 SD Raiders1 155%1.48X24%4.20221%5.25 1.7–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.60 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

On our numbers UNSW have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and APIA Leichhardt Tigers 62%.

How many goals will there be in UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

Our predicted score is UNSW 1–2 APIA Leichhardt Tigers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers?

UNSW vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at The Village Green.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.