Value bet: Manly United to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultManly United to win ✓47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
Manly United vs UNSW: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
UNSW travel to face Manly United on Friday 8 May in the New South Wales NPL, with Cromer Park the venue – the ball rolls at 10:30 WAT.
Current form
Manly United, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to NWS Spirit, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
UNSW, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Blacktown City, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manly United 1.7 xG, UNSW 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manly United 47%, draw 24%, UNSW 29%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Manly United to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manly United 1–1 UNSW. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manly United47%fair 2.14 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.40
UNSW29%fair 3.41 · @2.70
2.83Expected goals
1.69Manly United xG
1.13UNSW xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Manly United 1.7 – 1.1 UNSW expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manly United to win✓
47%
2.14
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Manly United (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
UNSW +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Manly United to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manly United / FT Manly United✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Manly United – last 6
LLWWDL
2 May
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
25 Apr
@ Marconi Stallions
1–4
L
19 Apr
vs Rockdale City Suns
4–1
W
11 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sydney FC U23
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Sutherland Sharks
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
UNSW – last 6
DLWDLW
2 May
vs Blacktown City
2–2
D
25 Apr
@ Sydney Olympic
1–2
L
18 Apr
vs Western Sydney Wanderers U23
2–1
W
11 Apr
vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ NWS Spirit
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs St George City FA
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manly United and UNSW.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Manly United vs UNSW?
On our numbers Manly United have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and UNSW 29%.
How many goals will there be in Manly United vs UNSW?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manly United vs UNSW?
Our predicted score is Manly United 1–1 UNSW, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Manly United vs UNSW?
Manly United vs UNSW (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Cromer Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
New South Wales NPL · Australia · Cromer Park
