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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

UNSW v NWS Spirit: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL · Australia · The Village Green

UNSW

WWLLL
3–1
FT

NWS Spirit

WDWLW
UNSW 34%Draw 26%NWS Spirit 40% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.40
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultNWS Spirit to win ✗40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.61

UNSW vs NWS Spirit: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

08:15 WAT, Saturday 18 July: UNSW v NWS Spirit in the New South Wales NPL, played at The Village Green.

Current form

UNSW, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over St George City FA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

NWS Spirit, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over St. George Saints, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours NWS Spirit, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for UNSW.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended NWS Spirit 2–1 UNSW.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give UNSW 1.3 xG, NWS Spirit 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – UNSW 34%, draw 26%, NWS Spirit 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: UNSW 1–1 NWS Spirit. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

UNSW34%fair 2.93 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.30
NWS Spirit40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
2.67Expected goals
1.27UNSW xG
1.40NWS Spirit xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: UNSW 1.3 – 1.4 NWS Spirit expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNWS Spirit to win ✗40%2.482.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.60
Draw no betNWS Spirit (draw no bet) ✗54%1.85–
Asian handicapUNSW +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.421.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreNWS Spirit to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT NWS Spirit / FT NWS Spirit ✗23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.61–

Recent results

UNSW – last 6

WWLLLL
11 Jul@ St George City FA2–0W
4 Julvs Sydney FC U233–2W
27 Junvs Sutherland Sharks1–3L
21 Jun@ Marconi Stallions0–1L
13 Junvs St. George Saints1–4L
6 Jun@ SD Raiders0–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

NWS Spirit – last 6

WDWLWL
11 Julvs St. George Saints3–1W
5 Jul@ Rockdale City Suns1–1D
27 Junvs Wollongong Wolves2–0W
20 Jun@ St George City FA0–1L
13 Junvs Sydney Olympic3–0W
5 Jun@ Sydney FC U230–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026NWS Spirit v UNSW2–1
UNSW vs NWS Spirit head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL predictions

FT Western Sydney Wanderers U233 APIA Leichhardt Tigers5 123%4.20X22%3.95255%1.64 1.4–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.45 ✓
FT Sutherland Sharks1 Sydney Olympic1 158%1.73X23%3.50219%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Wollongong Wolves2 SD Raiders3 141%2.15X25%3.45234%2.88 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT St. George Saints1 Rockdale City Suns6 120%4.33X24%3.70256%1.68 1.1–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

On our numbers UNSW have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and NWS Spirit 40%.

How many goals will there be in UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

Our predicted score is UNSW 1–1 NWS Spirit, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is UNSW vs NWS Spirit?

UNSW vs NWS Spirit (New South Wales NPL) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at The Village Green.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.