Newcastle Jets II v Canterbury Bankstown Prediction & Expected Goals (28 Feb) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultNewcastle Jets II to win42% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · fair 1.68

GoalsOver 2.5 goals70% · @1.50

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 14.61

Newcastle Jets II vs Canterbury Bankstown: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

07:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Newcastle Jets II v Canterbury Bankstown in the New South Wales NPL 2.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets II 1.9 xG, Canterbury Bankstown 2.1 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets II 42%, draw 20%, Canterbury Bankstown 38%.
Price worth noting: Canterbury Bankstown to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets II 1–2 Canterbury Bankstown. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newcastle Jets II42%fair 2.37 · @1.95

Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.75

Canterbury Bankstown38%fair 2.67 · @3.00

4.03Expected goals

1.91Newcastle Jets II xG

2.13Canterbury Bankstown xG

60%Both score

70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%

2–27%

1–17%

2–17%

1–35%

2–35%

From our goals model: Newcastle Jets II 1.9 – 2.1 Canterbury Bankstown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Newcastle Jets II to win	42%	2.37	1.95
Double chance	Either team to win	80%	1.26	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	60%	1.68	–
Draw no bet	Newcastle Jets II (draw no bet)	53%	1.89	–
Asian handicap	Newcastle Jets II +1 (Asian handicap)	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	70%	1.44	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals	57%	1.74	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	62%	1.61	–
First team to score	Canterbury Bankstown to score first	52%	1.93	–
Half-time result	Canterbury Bankstown ahead at half-time	36%	2.77	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Canterbury Bankstown / FT Canterbury Bankstown	27%	3.67	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	7%	14.61	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Newcastle Jets II to win

42%

2.37

1.95

Double chance

Either team to win

80%

1.26

1.20

Both teams to score

Both teams to score

60%

1.68

–

Draw no bet

Newcastle Jets II (draw no bet)

53%

1.89

–

Asian handicap

Newcastle Jets II +1 (Asian handicap)

69%

1.45

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

91%

1.10

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

70%

1.44

1.50

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals

57%

1.74

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

62%

1.61

–

First team to score

Canterbury Bankstown to score first

52%

1.93

–

Half-time result

Canterbury Bankstown ahead at half-time

36%

2.77

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Canterbury Bankstown / FT Canterbury Bankstown

27%

3.67

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1

14.61

–

21 Feb	@ Prospect United	1–1	D
14 Feb	vs Bulls Academy	1–3	L

21 Feb	vs Mt Druitt Town	1–3	L
14 Feb	@ Inter Lions	5–2	W

Newcastle Jets II v Canterbury Bankstown: numbers & prediction