Newcastle Jets II v Blacktown Spartans Prediction & Expected Goals (21 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBlacktown Spartans to win60% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win82% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.36

GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.55

Newcastle Jets II vs Blacktown Spartans: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

07:00 WAT, Saturday 21 March: Newcastle Jets II v Blacktown Spartans in the New South Wales NPL 2.

Current form

Blacktown Spartans, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Rydalmere Lions, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle Jets II 1.4 xG, Blacktown Spartans 2.6 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle Jets II 22%, draw 18%, Blacktown Spartans 60%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Blacktown Spartans to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle Jets II 1–2 Blacktown Spartans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newcastle Jets II22%fair 4.59 · @3.10

Draw18%fair 5.59 · @3.40

Blacktown Spartans60%fair 1.66 · @1.95

4.01Expected goals

1.38Newcastle Jets II xG

2.62Blacktown Spartans xG

69%Both score

76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%

1–38%

1–17%

0–26%

2–26%

0–35%

From our goals model: Newcastle Jets II 1.4 – 2.6 Blacktown Spartans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Blacktown Spartans to win	60%	1.66	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win	82%	1.22	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	69%	1.45	1.36
Draw no bet	Blacktown Spartans (draw no bet)	73%	1.36	–
Asian handicap	Blacktown Spartans -0.5 (Asian handicap)	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	91%	1.10	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals	57%	1.76	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	63%	1.59	–
First team to score	Blacktown Spartans to score first	64%	1.56	–
Half-time result	Blacktown Spartans ahead at half-time	49%	2.04	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Blacktown Spartans / FT Blacktown Spartans	43%	2.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	9%	11.55	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Blacktown Spartans to win

60%

1.66

1.95 ▲

Double chance

Either team to win

82%

1.22

1.25

Both teams to score

Both teams to score

69%

1.45

1.36

Draw no bet

Blacktown Spartans (draw no bet)

73%

1.36

–

Asian handicap

Blacktown Spartans -0.5 (Asian handicap)

64%

1.56

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals

91%

1.10

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

76%

1.31

–

Over/under 3.5 goals

Over 3.5 goals

57%

1.76

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals

63%

1.59

–

First team to score

Blacktown Spartans to score first

64%

1.56

–

Half-time result

Blacktown Spartans ahead at half-time

49%

2.04

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Blacktown Spartans / FT Blacktown Spartans

43%

2.35

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2

11.55

–

21 Feb	@ Prospect United	1–1	D
14 Feb	vs Bulls Academy	1–3	L

14 Mar	@ Rydalmere Lions	3–2	W
6 Mar	vs Dulwich Hill	2–1	W
28 Feb	@ Bankstown City Lions	1–3	L
20 Feb	vs Hakoah Sydney City	1–1	D
14 Feb	@ Mt Druitt Town	1–0	W

Newcastle Jets II v Blacktown Spartans: numbers & prediction