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Blacktown Spartans v Newcastle Jets II: numbers & prediction

New South Wales NPL 2 · Australia
Blacktown Spartans 68%Draw 17%Newcastle Jets II 16% Expected goals 3.17 – 1.30
68%
Betarazi pick

Blacktown Spartans to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultBlacktown Spartans to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceBlacktown Spartans or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67

Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 4 July the New South Wales NPL 2 brings Blacktown Spartans against Newcastle Jets II. Kick-off: 06:30 WAT.

Current form

Blacktown Spartans, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rydalmere Lions, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Newcastle Jets II, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Inter Lions, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Blacktown Spartans, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Newcastle Jets II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blacktown Spartans 3.2 xG, Newcastle Jets II 1.3 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blacktown Spartans 68%, draw 17%, Newcastle Jets II 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Blacktown Spartans or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Blacktown Spartans to win (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blacktown Spartans 3–1 Newcastle Jets II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blacktown Spartans68%fair 1.48 · @1.53
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @4.00
Newcastle Jets II16%fair 6.42 · @4.50
4.47Expected goals
3.17Blacktown Spartans xG
1.30Newcastle Jets II xG
69%Both score
82%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%

From our goals model: Blacktown Spartans 3.2 – 1.3 Newcastle Jets II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlacktown Spartans to win ✓68%1.481.53
Double chanceBlacktown Spartans or draw ✓84%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.40
Draw no betBlacktown Spartans (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapBlacktown Spartans -1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓94%1.07–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗54%1.86–
First team to scoreBlacktown Spartans to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultBlacktown Spartans ahead at half-time ✗57%1.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blacktown Spartans / FT Blacktown Spartans ✗52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8%12.67–

Recent results

Blacktown Spartans – last 6

WDWLWD
26 Junvs Rydalmere Lions3–1W
20 Jun@ Dulwich Hill1–1D
12 Junvs Bankstown City Lions4–1W
6 Jun@ Hakoah Sydney City1–2L
29 Mayvs Mt Druitt Town4–1W
23 May@ Hills Brumbies1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Newcastle Jets II – last 6

LLLDLL
27 Jun@ Inter Lions1–2L
20 Junvs Macarthur Rams0–1L
13 Jun@ Canterbury Bankstown5–6L
6 Junvs Prospect United2–2D
30 May@ Bulls Academy0–1L
23 Mayvs Hurstville FC0–1L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Blacktown Spartans and Newcastle Jets II.

Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II head-to-head page →

More New South Wales NPL 2 predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?

Our pick is Blacktown Spartans to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?

On our numbers Blacktown Spartans have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Newcastle Jets II 16%.

How many goals will there be in Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?

We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?

Our predicted score is Blacktown Spartans 3–1 Newcastle Jets II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.

When is Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II?

Blacktown Spartans vs Newcastle Jets II (New South Wales NPL 2) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.