Al Minaa Basra 39%Draw 30%Gharraf 32%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.90
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.69
Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 February the Iraqi League brings Al Minaa Basra against Gharraf. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Gharraf are 13th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.1 xG, Gharraf 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 39%, draw 30%, Gharraf 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Gharraf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.75
Gharraf32%fair 3.17 · @2.80
1.99Expected goals
1.09Al Minaa Basra xG
0.90Gharraf xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.1 – 0.9 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Al Minaa Basra (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Gharraf +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Al Minaa Basra to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.69
–
Recent results
Al Minaa Basra
No recent results on record.
Gharraf
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Gharraf.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Gharraf 32%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf?
Al Minaa Basra vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
