Value bet: Binh Duong to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10
Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ho Chi Minh welcome Binh Duong to Thong Nhat Stadium for a V.League 1 fixture on Sunday 1 March (13:15 WAT). In the table, Ho Chi Minh are 5th, upper half, on 36 points after 26 matches; Binh Duong are 14th (in the drop zone) with 24. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ho Chi Minh 1.3 xG, Binh Duong 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ho Chi Minh 41%, draw 27%, Binh Duong 32%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Binh Duong to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Binh Duong. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ho Chi Minh41%fair 2.46 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.20
Binh Duong32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
2.50Expected goals
1.29Ho Chi Minh xG
1.21Binh Duong xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ho Chi Minh 1.3 – 1.2 Binh Duong expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ho Chi Minh to win✗
41%
2.46
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
Ho Chi Minh (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Binh Duong +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ho Chi Minh to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ho Chi Minh / FT Ho Chi Minh✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.10
–
Recent results
Ho Chi Minh – last 1
L
1 Mar
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Binh Duong
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ho Chi Minh and Binh Duong.
What is the prediction for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
On our numbers Ho Chi Minh have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Binh Duong 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
Our predicted score is Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Binh Duong, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong?
Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Duong (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Thong Nhat Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
