Thanh Hóa 37%Draw 28%Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 35%Expected goals 1.18 – 1.10
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultThanh Hóa to win ✗37% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.79
Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thanh Hóa welcome Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh for a V.League 1 fixture on Friday 6 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Thanh Hóa are 11th, lower half, on 25 points after 26 matches; Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh are 8th (lower half) with 29.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thanh Hóa 1.2 xG, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thanh Hóa 37%, draw 28%, Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thanh Hóa 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thanh Hóa37%fair 2.70 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.10
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh35%fair 2.85 · @2.55
2.28Expected goals
1.18Thanh Hóa xG
1.10Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.2 – 1.1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Thanh Hóa to win✗
37%
2.70
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.83
Draw no bet
Thanh Hóa (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Thanh Hóa to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Thanh Hóa / FT Thanh Hóa✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.79
–
Recent results
Thanh Hóa – last 2
DL
1 Mar
@ Hai Phong
3–3
D
24 Feb
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh – last 1
L
28 Feb
vs Song Lam Nghe An
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thanh Hóa and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh.
What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 35%.
How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–1 Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh?
Thanh Hóa vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh (V.League 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
