Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ho Chi Minh travel to face Thanh Hóa on Sunday 5 April in the V.League 1 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Thanh Hóa are 11th, lower half, on 25 points after 26 matches; Ho Chi Minh are 5th (upper half) with 36.
Current form
Thanh Hóa, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nam Dinh, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Ho Chi Minh, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sanna Khanh Hoa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Ho Chi Minh, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for Thanh Hóa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thanh Hóa 1.1 xG, Ho Chi Minh 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thanh Hóa 32%, draw 28%, Ho Chi Minh 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thanh Hóa 1–1 Ho Chi Minh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thanh Hóa32%fair 3.13 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.20
Ho Chi Minh40%fair 2.47 · @2.35
2.34Expected goals
1.09Thanh Hóa xG
1.26Ho Chi Minh xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.1 – 1.3 Ho Chi Minh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ho Chi Minh to win✗
40%
2.47
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.80
Draw no bet
Ho Chi Minh (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Thanh Hóa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ho Chi Minh to score first✗
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ho Chi Minh / FT Ho Chi Minh✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.14
–
Recent results
Thanh Hóa – last 4
LLDL
13 Mar
@ Nam Dinh
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Hai Phong
3–3
D
24 Feb
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ho Chi Minh – last 6
WWWWWD
5 Apr
vs Sanna Khanh Hoa
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Bình Phước
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Pho Hien
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Bắc Ninh
3–2
W
7 Mar
@ Hoang Anh Gia Lai
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Văn Hiến
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thanh Hóa and Ho Chi Minh.
What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ho Chi Minh 40%.
How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–1 Ho Chi Minh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh?
Thanh Hóa vs Ho Chi Minh (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
