Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Thanh Hóa welcome Song Lam Nghe An for a V.League 1 fixture on Sunday 19 April (12:00 WAT). In the table, Thanh Hóa are 11th, lower half, on 25 points after 26 matches; Song Lam Nghe An are 9th (lower half) with 27. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Thanh Hóa, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Viettel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Song Lam Nghe An, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Viettel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Song Lam Nghe An, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Thanh Hóa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thanh Hóa 1.2 xG, Song Lam Nghe An 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thanh Hóa 34%, draw 27%, Song Lam Nghe An 39%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thanh Hóa 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thanh Hóa34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Song Lam Nghe An39%fair 2.53 · @2.38
2.53Expected goals
1.18Thanh Hóa xG
1.35Song Lam Nghe An xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Thanh Hóa 1.2 – 1.4 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Song Lam Nghe An to win✗
39%
2.53
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.80
Draw no bet
Song Lam Nghe An (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Thanh Hóa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Song Lam Nghe An to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Song Lam Nghe An / FT Song Lam Nghe An✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Thanh Hóa – last 6
LWLLDL
10 Apr
@ Viettel
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Ho Chi Minh
4–0
W
13 Mar
@ Nam Dinh
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Hai Phong
3–3
D
24 Feb
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Song Lam Nghe An – last 4
DLWW
5 Apr
vs Viettel
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Hai Phong
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thanh Hóa and Song Lam Nghe An.
What is the prediction for Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Thanh Hóa have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Song Lam Nghe An 39%.
How many goals will there be in Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Thanh Hóa 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Thanh Hóa vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
