Công An Nhân Dân 67%Draw 19%Song Lam Nghe An 14%Expected goals 1.99 – 0.91
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✓67% · @1.18
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓86% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Song Lam Nghe An travel to face Công An Nhân Dân on Sunday 26 April in the V.League 1, with Hang Day Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:15 WAT. In the table, Công An Nhân Dân are 1st, leading the league, on 64 points after 26 matches; Song Lam Nghe An are 9th (lower half) with 27. There are 37 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Công An Nhân Dân, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ho Chi Minh, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Song Lam Nghe An, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Thanh Hóa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Công An Nhân Dân, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.6 for Song Lam Nghe An.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Công An Nhân Dân 2.0 xG, Song Lam Nghe An 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 60%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Công An Nhân Dân 67%, draw 19%, Song Lam Nghe An 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Công An Nhân Dân 1–0 Song Lam Nghe An. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Công An Nhân Dân67%fair 1.49 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @6.00
Song Lam Nghe An14%fair 7.15 · @11.00
2.89Expected goals
1.99Công An Nhân Dân xG
0.91Song Lam Nghe An xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Công An Nhân Dân 2.0 – 0.9 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Công An Nhân Dân to win✓
67%
1.49
1.18
Double chance
Công An Nhân Dân or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Công An Nhân Dân (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Công An Nhân Dân -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.25
First team to score
Công An Nhân Dân to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Công An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
WDWWWL
19 Apr
@ Ho Chi Minh
3–0
W
12 Apr
@ Pho Hien
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Da Nang
5–1
W
22 Mar
@ Da Nang
1–0
W
14 Mar
@ Phu Dong
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Song Lam Nghe An – last 5
DDLWW
19 Apr
@ Thanh Hóa
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Viettel
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Ha Noi
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Hai Phong
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Công An Nhân Dân and Song Lam Nghe An.
What is the prediction for Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
On our numbers Công An Nhân Dân have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Song Lam Nghe An 14%.
How many goals will there be in Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Our predicted score is Công An Nhân Dân 1–0 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An?
Công An Nhân Dân vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Hang Day Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
