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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ho Chi Minh v Song Lam Nghe An: numbers & prediction

V.League 1 · Vietnam
3–1
FT
Ho Chi Minh 41%Draw 27%Song Lam Nghe An 33% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.13
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultHo Chi Minh to win ✓41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.02

Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ho Chi Minh welcome Song Lam Nghe An for a V.League 1 fixture on Sunday 10 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, Ho Chi Minh are 5th, upper half, on 36 points after 26 matches; Song Lam Nghe An are 9th (lower half) with 27.

Current form

Ho Chi Minh, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Long An, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Song Lam Nghe An, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hoang Anh Gia Lai, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ho Chi Minh 1.3 xG, Song Lam Nghe An 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ho Chi Minh 41%, draw 27%, Song Lam Nghe An 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ho Chi Minh41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Song Lam Nghe An33%fair 3.07 · @3.10
2.41Expected goals
1.28Ho Chi Minh xG
1.13Song Lam Nghe An xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Ho Chi Minh 1.3 – 1.1 Song Lam Nghe An expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHo Chi Minh to win ✓41%2.462.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.741.80
Draw no betHo Chi Minh (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapSong Lam Nghe An +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.791.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreHo Chi Minh to score first48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ho Chi Minh / FT Ho Chi Minh ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.02–

Recent results

Ho Chi Minh – last 6

DWLWLL
9 Mayvs Long An0–0D
3 Mayvs Binh Dinh3–0W
1 May@ Nam Dinh0–2L
26 Apr@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh1–0W
25 Apr@ Than Quang Ninh1–3L
19 Aprvs Công An Nhân Dân0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Song Lam Nghe An – last 6

LLDDLW
3 Mayvs Hoang Anh Gia Lai0–1L
26 Apr@ Công An Nhân Dân2–4L
19 Apr@ Thanh Hóa1–1D
5 Aprvs Viettel1–1D
13 Mar@ Ha Noi0–3L
7 Marvs Hai Phong1–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ho Chi Minh and Song Lam Nghe An.

Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An head-to-head page →

V.League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Công An Nhân Dân262042+3664
2Viettel261592+1854
3Phu Dong261565+2251
4Ha Noi261448+1846
5Ho Chi Minh2610610-836
6Nam Dinh26989+135
7Hai Phong269512+132
8Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh267811-1429
9Song Lam Nghe An267613-1327
10Hoang Anh Gia Lai266812-1326
11Thanh Hóa2651011-1225
12Da Nang265912-624
13Pho Hien265912-1824
14Binh Duong266614-1224

More V.League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

On our numbers Ho Chi Minh have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Song Lam Nghe An 33%.

How many goals will there be in Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Our predicted score is Ho Chi Minh 1–1 Song Lam Nghe An, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An?

Ho Chi Minh vs Song Lam Nghe An (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.