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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Glentoran v Linfield: numbers & prediction

League Cup · Northern-Ireland · Windsor Park
0–0
FTAET 0–1
Glentoran 37%Draw 28%Linfield 36% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.27
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGlentoran to win ✗37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · fair 1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20

Glentoran vs Linfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Linfield travel to face Glentoran on Sunday 15 March in the League Cup, with Windsor Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Glentoran, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Bangor, away. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Linfield, last 4: WLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Portadown, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Glentoran, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Linfield.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Glentoran 1.3 xG, Linfield 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Glentoran 37%, draw 28%, Linfield 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Glentoran 1–1 Linfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Glentoran37%fair 2.74 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.20
Linfield36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
2.57Expected goals
1.30Glentoran xG
1.27Linfield xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%

From our goals model: Glentoran 1.3 – 1.3 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlentoran to win ✗37%2.742.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.38–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.751.91 ▲
Draw no betGlentoran (draw no bet)50%1.98–
Asian handicapLinfield +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.08
First team to scoreGlentoran to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glentoran / FT Glentoran ✗21%4.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.20–

Recent results

Glentoran – last 4

WWWW
10 Mar@ Bangor4–0W
3 Marvs Carrick Rangers1–0W
24 Feb@ Cliftonville FC4–0W
17 Febvs Drumaness Mills5–0W
3.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Linfield – last 4

WLDW
10 Marvs Portadown3–1W
1 Mar@ Cliftonville FC0–2L
24 Feb@ Larne1–1D
17 Feb@ Dungannon Swifts4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Glentoran and Linfield.

Glentoran vs Linfield head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Glentoran vs Linfield?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Glentoran vs Linfield?

On our numbers Glentoran have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Linfield 36%.

How many goals will there be in Glentoran vs Linfield?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Glentoran vs Linfield?

Our predicted score is Glentoran 1–1 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Glentoran vs Linfield?

Glentoran vs Linfield (League Cup) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.