Value bet: PSIS Semarang to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPSIS Semarang to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.44
Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Persiba Balikpapan welcome PSIS Semarang to Stadion Batakan for a Liga 2 fixture on Sunday 1 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, Persiba Balikpapan are 9th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 27 matches; PSIS Semarang are 8th (in the drop zone) with 23.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persiba Balikpapan 1.1 xG, PSIS Semarang 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persiba Balikpapan 36%, draw 26%, PSIS Semarang 38%.
Price worth noting: PSIS Semarang to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persiba Balikpapan 1–1 PSIS Semarang. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persiba Balikpapan36%fair 2.79 · @2.15
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
PSIS Semarang38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
2.42Expected goals
1.09Persiba Balikpapan xG
1.33PSIS Semarang xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Persiba Balikpapan 1.1 – 1.3 PSIS Semarang expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSIS Semarang to win✗
38%
2.62
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
PSIS Semarang (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Persiba Balikpapan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
PSIS Semarang to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSIS Semarang / FT PSIS Semarang✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.44
–
Recent results
Persiba Balikpapan – last 2
DD
23 Feb
@ Persipal
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Persiku Kudus
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PSIS Semarang – last 2
WD
22 Feb
@ Deltras
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Persela Lamongan
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persiba Balikpapan and PSIS Semarang.
What is the prediction for Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang?
On our numbers Persiba Balikpapan have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and PSIS Semarang 38%.
How many goals will there be in Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang?
Our predicted score is Persiba Balikpapan 1–1 PSIS Semarang, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang?
Persiba Balikpapan vs PSIS Semarang (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Batakan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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