Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultPersela Lamongan to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chancePersela Lamongan or draw ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.67
Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Liga 2 brings Persela Lamongan against Persiba Balikpapan at Stadion Surajaya. Kick-off: 09:30 WAT. In the table, Persela Lamongan are 6th, lower half, on 41 points after 27 matches; Persiba Balikpapan are 9th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Persela Lamongan, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to PSS Sleman, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Persiba Balikpapan, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with PSIS Semarang, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Persiba Balikpapan, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Persela Lamongan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Persela Lamongan 1.7 xG, Persiba Balikpapan 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Persela Lamongan 60%, draw 24%, Persiba Balikpapan 16%.
Lower-risk option: Persela Lamongan or draw (84%) at 1.13.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Persela Lamongan to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.66, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Persela Lamongan 1–0 Persiba Balikpapan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Persela Lamongan60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.10
Persiba Balikpapan16%fair 6.17 · @4.20
2.45Expected goals
1.74Persela Lamongan xG
0.71Persiba Balikpapan xG
44%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Persela Lamongan 1.7 – 0.7 Persiba Balikpapan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persela Lamongan to win✓
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Persela Lamongan or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Persela Lamongan (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Persela Lamongan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Persela Lamongan to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Persela Lamongan ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persela Lamongan / FT Persela Lamongan✗
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.67
–
Recent results
Persela Lamongan – last 3
LLD
1 Mar
vs PSS Sleman
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Persiku Kudus
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ PSIS Semarang
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Persiba Balikpapan – last 3
DDD
1 Mar
vs PSIS Semarang
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Persipal
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Persiku Kudus
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persela Lamongan and Persiba Balikpapan.
What is the prediction for Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Our pick is Persela Lamongan to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
On our numbers Persela Lamongan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Persiba Balikpapan 16%.
How many goals will there be in Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Our predicted score is Persela Lamongan 1–0 Persiba Balikpapan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan?
Persela Lamongan vs Persiba Balikpapan (Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surajaya.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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