Sumsel United vs Bekasi City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sumsel United welcome Bekasi City to Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring for a Liga 2 fixture on Sunday 12 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Sumsel United are 4th, among the top four, on 42 points after 27 matches; Bekasi City are 3rd (among the top four) with 44. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sumsel United, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Adhyaksa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Bekasi City, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Persekat, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bekasi City, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Sumsel United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sumsel United 1.5 xG, Bekasi City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sumsel United 49%, draw 25%, Bekasi City 26%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.63.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.37). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumsel United 1–1 Bekasi City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sumsel United49%fair 2.05 · @1.71
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.62
Bekasi City26%fair 3.81 · @3.96
2.61Expected goals
1.46Sumsel United xG
1.15Bekasi City xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sumsel United 1.5 – 1.1 Bekasi City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sumsel United to win✗
49%
2.05
1.71
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.63
Draw no bet
Sumsel United (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Bekasi City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.37
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Sumsel United to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sumsel United / FT Sumsel United✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Sumsel United – last 3
LWL
28 Mar
@ Adhyaksa
2–3
L
22 Feb
vs Garudayaksa
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ PSMS Medan
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bekasi City – last 4
DLWW
6 Apr
vs Persekat
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Garudayaksa
0–4
L
22 Feb
vs Persiraja Banda Aceh
1–0
W
16 Feb
@ Sriwijaya FC
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sumsel United and Bekasi City.
What is the prediction for Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
On our numbers Sumsel United have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bekasi City 26%.
How many goals will there be in Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
Our predicted score is Sumsel United 1–1 Bekasi City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sumsel United vs Bekasi City?
Sumsel United vs Bekasi City (Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
