Value bet: Salcedo to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMoca to win ✗38% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.04
Moca vs Salcedo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Moca v Salcedo in the Liga Mayor. In the table, Moca are 4th, among the top four, on 20 points after 14 matches; Salcedo are 1st (leading the league) with 35. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moca 1.1 xG, Salcedo 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moca 38%, draw 28%, Salcedo 34%.
Price worth noting: Salcedo to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moca 1–1 Salcedo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moca38%fair 2.66 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.10
Salcedo34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
2.30Expected goals
1.10Moca xG
1.20Salcedo xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Moca 1.1 – 1.2 Salcedo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Moca to win✗
38%
2.66
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.40
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Moca (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Moca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Salcedo to score first✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salcedo / FT Salcedo✓
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.04
–
Recent results
Moca
No recent results on record.
Salcedo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moca and Salcedo.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Moca vs Salcedo?
On our numbers Moca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Salcedo 34%.
How many goals will there be in Moca vs Salcedo?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moca vs Salcedo?
Our predicted score is Moca 1–1 Salcedo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Moca vs Salcedo?
Moca vs Salcedo (Liga Mayor) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
