Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓72% · @1.24
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67
Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Monday 23 February: Independiente del Valle v Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Banco Guayaquil. In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.4 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.8 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 72%, draw 18%, Guayaquil City FC 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle to win (72%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle72%fair 1.39 · @1.24
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.00
Guayaquil City FC10%fair 10.04 · @10.00
3.15Expected goals
2.38Independiente del Valle xG
0.78Guayaquil City FC xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.4 – 0.8 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
72%
1.39
1.24
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.49
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✓
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.67
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle
No recent results on record.
Guayaquil City FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guayaquil City FC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC?
Independiente del Valle vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
