Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✗60% · @1.62
Double chanceMacara or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Macara vs Leones del Norte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Macara welcome Leones del Norte to Estadio Bellavista for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 22 February (19:00 WAT). In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Leones del Norte are 9th with 47. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.7 xG, Leones del Norte 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 60%, draw 24%, Leones del Norte 16%.
Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (84%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Leones del Norte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Leones del Norte16%fair 6.24 · @4.80
2.51Expected goals
1.73Macara xG
0.78Leones del Norte xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Macara 1.7 – 0.8 Leones del Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Macara or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Macara -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Macara to score first✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.55
–
Recent results
Macara – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leones del Norte
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Leones del Norte.
What is the prediction for Macara vs Leones del Norte?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Macara vs Leones del Norte?
On our numbers Macara have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Leones del Norte 16%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Leones del Norte?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Leones del Norte?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Leones del Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Leones del Norte?
Macara vs Leones del Norte (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
