Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Universidad Catolica vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Universidad Catolica welcome Emelec to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado for a Liga Pro fixture on Thursday 9 April (01:00 WAT). In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45.
Current form
Universidad Catolica, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Emelec, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Cuenca, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.7 xG, Emelec 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 59%, draw 24%, Emelec 17%.
Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Universidad Catolica59%fair 1.70 · @1.58
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.95
Emelec17%fair 5.95 · @5.50
2.48Expected goals
1.69Universidad Catolica xG
0.79Emelec xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.7 – 0.8 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad Catolica to win✗
59%
1.70
1.58
Double chance
Universidad Catolica or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.77
Draw no bet
Universidad Catolica (draw no bet)
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.13
First team to score
Universidad Catolica to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Universidad Catolica – last 3
WDL
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Juventud
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 4
LLWD
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Emelec.
What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Emelec 17%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Universidad Catolica vs Emelec?
Universidad Catolica vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
