Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓67% · @1.47
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle travel to face Manta FC on Tuesday 3 March in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Jocay the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT. In the table, Manta FC are 16th on 33 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 51 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manta FC 0.7 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manta FC 13%, draw 20%, Independiente del Valle 67%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manta FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manta FC13%fair 7.74 · @6.80
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.10
Independiente del Valle67%fair 1.49 · @1.47
2.52Expected goals
0.65Manta FC xG
1.86Independiente del Valle xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.7 – 1.9 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
67%
1.49
1.47
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Manta FC – last 1
L
24 Feb
@ Libertad
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Independiente del Valle – last 1
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Independiente del Valle.
What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Independiente del Valle 67%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle?
Manta FC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
