Independiente del Valle 71%Draw 19%Mushuc Runa SC 10%Expected goals 2.08 – 0.61
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win71% · @1.47
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015% · fair 6.78
Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente del Valle welcome Mushuc Runa SC to Estadio Banco Guayaquil for a Liga Pro fixture on Saturday 7 March (22:30 WAT). In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Mushuc Runa SC are 12th with 43. There are 41 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 2.1 xG, Mushuc Runa SC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 71%, draw 19%, Mushuc Runa SC 10%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 2–0 Mushuc Runa SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle71%fair 1.42 · @1.47
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @4.10
Mushuc Runa SC10%fair 9.78 · @6.80
2.69Expected goals
2.08Independiente del Valle xG
0.61Mushuc Runa SC xG
49%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 2.1 – 0.6 Mushuc Runa SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win
71%
1.42
1.47
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.96
1.67
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.10
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
15%
6.78
–
Recent results
Independiente del Valle – last 2
WW
3 Mar
@ Manta FC
2–0
W
23 Feb
vs Guayaquil City FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mushuc Runa SC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC.
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Mushuc Runa SC 10%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 2–0 Mushuc Runa SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
