Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Libertad to win @ 3.45 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertad to win ✗37% · @3.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.59
Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 March the Liga Pro brings Tecnico Universitario against Libertad at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT. In the table, Tecnico Universitario are 15th on 37 points after 36 matches; Libertad are 7th with 51. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Libertad, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over LDU de Quito, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tecnico Universitario 1.0 xG, Libertad 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tecnico Universitario 36%, draw 27%, Libertad 37%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Libertad to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Libertad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tecnico Universitario36%fair 2.78 · @2.14
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.20
Libertad37%fair 2.68 · @3.45
2.21Expected goals
1.02Tecnico Universitario xG
1.19Libertad xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Tecnico Universitario 1.0 – 1.2 Libertad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad to win✗
37%
2.68
3.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
Libertad (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Tecnico Universitario +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Libertad to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad / FT Libertad✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.59
–
Recent results
Tecnico Universitario – last 2
DD
8 Mar
@ Macara
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Orense SC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Libertad – last 3
WLW
8 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
24 Feb
vs Manta FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tecnico Universitario and Libertad.
What is the prediction for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
On our numbers Tecnico Universitario have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Libertad 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Our predicted score is Tecnico Universitario 1–1 Libertad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?
Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
