Leones del Norte 22%Draw 27%LDU de Quito 51%Expected goals 0.91 – 1.34
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLDU de Quito to win ✓51% · @1.84
Double chanceLDU de Quito or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Leones del Norte v LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54.
Current form
LDU de Quito, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Universidad Catolica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 0.9 xG, LDU de Quito 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 22%, draw 27%, LDU de Quito 51%.
Lower-risk option: LDU de Quito or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 0–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte22%fair 4.53 · @4.50
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.30
LDU de Quito51%fair 1.96 · @1.84
2.25Expected goals
0.91Leones del Norte xG
1.34LDU de Quito xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 0.9 – 1.3 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✓
51%
1.96
1.84
Double chance
LDU de Quito or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.65
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Leones del Norte +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.06
–
Recent results
Leones del Norte – last 2
DD
14 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Macara
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 4
DLLW
15 Mar
vs Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Libertad
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Macara
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Orense SC
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones del Norte and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 27% and LDU de Quito 51%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 0–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito?
Leones del Norte vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
