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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universidad Catolica v Deportivo Cuenca: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Olimpico Atahualpa
Universidad Catolica 58%Draw 25%Deportivo Cuenca 17% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.71
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓58% · @1.69
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.31

Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Cuenca travel to face Universidad Catolica on Tuesday 17 March in the Liga Pro, with Olimpico Atahualpa the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Deportivo Cuenca are 11th with 47.

Current form

Deportivo Cuenca, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones del Norte, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.5 xG, Deportivo Cuenca 0.7 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 58%, draw 25%, Deportivo Cuenca 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (83%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica58%fair 1.72 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.65
Deportivo Cuenca17%fair 5.73 · @4.90
2.24Expected goals
1.53Universidad Catolica xG
0.71Deportivo Cuenca xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.5 – 0.7 Deportivo Cuenca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓58%1.721.69
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓83%1.211.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%2.001.85
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cuenca +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.471.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.09
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✗35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.31–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 2

DL
15 Mar@ LDU de Quito1–1D
13 Febvs Juventud3–4L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cuenca – last 6

DWWWLW
14 Marvs Leones del Norte1–1D
8 Mar@ Aucas1–0W
5 Marvs Libertad3–0W
1 Marvs Barcelona SC2–1W
22 Feb@ Delfin SC0–1L
14 Feb@ Macara2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Deportivo Cuenca.

Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Cuenca 17%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–0 Deportivo Cuenca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Universidad Catolica vs Deportivo Cuenca (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.