Aucas vs Orense SC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aucas welcome Orense SC to Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda for a Liga Pro fixture on Tuesday 24 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Orense SC are 13th with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Orense SC, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Mushuc Runa SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.6 xG, Orense SC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 55%, draw 25%, Orense SC 20%.
Lower-risk option: Aucas or draw (80%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Orense SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas55%fair 1.82 · @1.68
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Orense SC20%fair 5.04 · @4.33
2.55Expected goals
1.60Aucas xG
0.95Orense SC xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.6 – 0.9 Orense SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✓
55%
1.82
1.68
Double chance
Aucas or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.90
Draw no bet
Aucas (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Orense SC +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
Aucas to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✓
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Aucas – last 2
LL
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Orense SC – last 5
WDLDL
19 Mar
vs Mushuc Runa SC
3–2
W
10 Mar
vs Manta FC
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Macara
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs LDU de Quito
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Orense SC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Aucas vs Orense SC?
On our numbers Aucas have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Orense SC 20%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Orense SC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Orense SC?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Orense SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Orense SC?
Aucas vs Orense SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
