Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceMacara or draw ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Macara vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 6 April the Liga Pro brings Macara against Aucas at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 00:10 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Macara, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Delfin SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Aucas, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Orense SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Macara, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Aucas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.4 xG, Aucas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 48%, draw 26%, Aucas 26%.
Lower-risk option: Macara or draw (74%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Macara48%fair 2.08 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Aucas26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
2.20Expected goals
1.39Macara xG
0.82Aucas xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
0–011%
2–011%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Macara 1.4 – 0.8 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✗
48%
2.08
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Macara or draw✗
74%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Aucas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Macara to score first✗
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
30%
3.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Macara – last 6
WDDWWD
18 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aucas – last 3
WLL
24 Mar
vs Orense SC
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Macara and Aucas.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Macara vs Aucas?
On our numbers Macara have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aucas 26%.
How many goals will there be in Macara vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Macara vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Macara vs Aucas?
Macara vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
