Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultAucas to win ✓52% · @1.90
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Aucas vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Emelec travel to face Aucas on Monday 13 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda the venue – the ball rolls at 00:10 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45.
Current form
Aucas, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Macara, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Emelec, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Universidad Catolica, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Emelec.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.4 xG, Emelec 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 52%, draw 27%, Emelec 21%.
Lower-risk option: Aucas or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aucas or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas52%fair 1.92 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.50
Emelec21%fair 4.70 · @3.85
2.31Expected goals
1.43Aucas xG
0.88Emelec xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.4 – 0.9 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✓
52%
1.92
1.90
Double chance
Aucas or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.73
Draw no bet
Aucas (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Emelec +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.11
First team to score
Aucas to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✗
30%
3.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.21
–
Recent results
Aucas – last 4
WWLL
6 Apr
@ Macara
1–0
W
24 Mar
vs Orense SC
3–2
W
19 Mar
vs Tecnico Universitario
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Emelec – last 5
DLLWD
9 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
0–2
L
23 Mar
@ Mushuc Runa SC
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Independiente del Valle
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Delfin SC
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Emelec.
Our pick is Aucas or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aucas vs Emelec?
On our numbers Aucas have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Emelec 21%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Emelec?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Emelec?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Emelec?
Aucas vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
