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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Barcelona SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WDLWD
3–1
FT
Macara 42%Draw 27%Barcelona SC 31% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.84
81%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.67

Macara vs Barcelona SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 20 April the Liga Pro brings Macara against Barcelona SC at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 00:10 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Barcelona SC are 6th with 49. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tigre, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Barcelona SC, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Boca Juniors, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.2 xG, Barcelona SC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 42%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–0 Barcelona SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara42%fair 2.36 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @3.15
Barcelona SC31%fair 3.26 · @2.95
2.05Expected goals
1.21Macara xG
0.84Barcelona SC xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Macara 1.2 – 0.8 Barcelona SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✓42%2.362.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.90
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapBarcelona SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.581.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.611.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.231.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.06
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✗26%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.67–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

WDLWDD
16 Apr@ Tigre1–0W
10 Aprvs America de Cali1–1D
6 Aprvs Aucas0–1L
18 Marvs Delfin SC1–0W
15 Mar@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
8 Marvs Tecnico Universitario1–1D
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Barcelona SC – last 6

LWLWDD
15 Apr@ Boca Juniors0–3L
11 Aprvs Leones del Norte2–1W
8 Aprvs Cruzeiro0–1L
4 Apr@ LDU de Quito2–0W
19 Mar@ Libertad0–0D
16 Mar@ Guayaquil City FC0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Macara and Barcelona SC.

Macara vs Barcelona SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Macara vs Barcelona SC?

On our numbers Macara have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Barcelona SC 31%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Barcelona SC?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–0 Barcelona SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Barcelona SC?

Macara vs Barcelona SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.