Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guayaquil City FC travel to face Libertad on Tuesday 21 April in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Libertad are 7th on 51 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Libertad, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Orense SC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Emelec, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Libertad 1.4 xG, Guayaquil City FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad 47%, draw 26%, Guayaquil City FC 27%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Libertad47%fair 2.12 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.30
Guayaquil City FC27%fair 3.72 · @3.70
2.35Expected goals
1.40Libertad xG
0.95Guayaquil City FC xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Libertad 1.4 – 1.0 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertad to win✗
47%
2.12
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Libertad (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Guayaquil City FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
Libertad to score first✗
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertad / FT Libertad✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.51
–
Recent results
Libertad – last 6
LDDLWL
12 Apr
@ Orense SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Mushuc Runa SC
2–2
D
19 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
13 Mar
@ Tecnico Universitario
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs LDU de Quito
2–1
W
5 Mar
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guayaquil City FC – last 6
WDWDLL
18 Apr
@ Emelec
3–1
W
23 Mar
vs Leones del Norte
0–0
D
18 Mar
@ Manta FC
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Barcelona SC
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Independiente del Valle
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Libertad and Guayaquil City FC.
What is the prediction for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Libertad have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Guayaquil City FC 27%.
How many goals will there be in Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Libertad 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC?
Libertad vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
