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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Universidad Catolica v Macara: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Olimpico Atahualpa
4–0
FT

Macara

WWDLW
Universidad Catolica 51%Draw 26%Macara 24% Expected goals 1.36 – 1.01
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓51% · @1.69
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓76% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.47

Universidad Catolica vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 24 April the Liga Pro brings Universidad Catolica against Macara at Olimpico Atahualpa. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Universidad Catolica are 3rd on 54 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Universidad Catolica, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Emelec, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Macara, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Barcelona SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Macara, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Universidad Catolica.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Universidad Catolica 1.4 xG, Macara 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Universidad Catolica 51%, draw 26%, Macara 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (76%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Universidad Catolica 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Universidad Catolica51%fair 1.97 · @1.69
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.65
Macara24%fair 4.24 · @4.90
2.37Expected goals
1.36Universidad Catolica xG
1.01Macara xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%

From our goals model: Universidad Catolica 1.4 – 1.0 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✓51%1.971.69
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✓76%1.311.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.83
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet) ✓68%1.46–
Asian handicapMacara +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.421.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.10
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✗26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.47–

Recent results

Universidad Catolica – last 4

DWDL
9 Aprvs Emelec1–1D
17 Marvs Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
15 Mar@ LDU de Quito1–1D
13 Febvs Juventud3–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Macara – last 6

WWDLWD
20 Aprvs Barcelona SC3–1W
16 Apr@ Tigre1–0W
10 Aprvs America de Cali1–1D
6 Aprvs Aucas0–1L
18 Marvs Delfin SC1–0W
15 Mar@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universidad Catolica and Macara.

Universidad Catolica vs Macara head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Universidad Catolica vs Macara?

On our numbers Universidad Catolica have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Macara 24%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Catolica vs Macara?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Universidad Catolica vs Macara?

Our predicted score is Universidad Catolica 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Universidad Catolica vs Macara?

Universidad Catolica vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Atahualpa.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.