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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aucas v Delfin SC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas

DWWWW
1–0
FT
Aucas 57%Draw 24%Delfin SC 18% Expected goals 1.35 – 0.74
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAucas to win ✓57% · @1.51
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.00

Aucas vs Delfin SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:00 WAT, Tuesday 28 April: Aucas v Delfin SC in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Delfin SC are 14th with 38. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Aucas, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with LDU de Quito, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Delfin SC, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Delfin SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.4 xG, Delfin SC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 57%, draw 24%, Delfin SC 18%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Delfin SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aucas57%fair 1.74 · @1.51
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.85
Delfin SC18%fair 5.51 · @6.80
2.09Expected goals
1.35Aucas xG
0.74Delfin SC xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Aucas 1.4 – 0.7 Delfin SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAucas to win ✓57%1.741.51
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.62
Draw no betAucas (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapDelfin SC +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.521.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.08
First team to scoreAucas to score first ✓57%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aucas / FT Aucas ✗30%3.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%6.00–

Recent results

Aucas – last 6

DWWWWL
23 Apr@ LDU de Quito0–0D
17 Apr@ Leones del Norte1–0W
13 Aprvs Emelec2–0W
6 Apr@ Macara1–0W
24 Marvs Orense SC3–2W
19 Marvs Tecnico Universitario0–1L
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Delfin SC – last 6

LDWLLW
22 Aprvs Independiente del Valle0–1L
19 Apr@ Orense SC0–0D
11 Aprvs LDU de Quito1–0W
5 Apr@ Leones del Norte0–1L
18 Mar@ Macara0–1L
7 Marvs Guayaquil City FC1–0W
0.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Delfin SC.

Aucas vs Delfin SC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aucas vs Delfin SC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Aucas vs Delfin SC?

On our numbers Aucas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Delfin SC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Delfin SC?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Delfin SC?

Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Delfin SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Aucas vs Delfin SC?

Aucas vs Delfin SC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 28 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.