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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Manta FC v Universidad Catolica: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Jocay
1–0
FT
Manta FC 20%Draw 24%Universidad Catolica 55% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.55
80%
Betarazi pick

Universidad Catolica or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗55% · @1.84
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.77

Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Monday 27 April: Manta FC v Universidad Catolica in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Jocay. In the table, Manta FC are 16th on 33 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Manta FC, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Leones del Norte, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Universidad Catolica, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Macara, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Universidad Catolica, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.2 for Manta FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Manta FC 0.9 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Manta FC 20%, draw 24%, Universidad Catolica 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: Universidad Catolica or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Universidad Catolica or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manta FC 0–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Manta FC20%fair 4.91 · @4.33
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.40
Universidad Catolica55%fair 1.81 · @1.84
2.42Expected goals
0.86Manta FC xG
1.55Universidad Catolica xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%

From our goals model: Manta FC 0.9 – 1.6 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUniversidad Catolica to win ✗55%1.811.84
Double chanceUniversidad Catolica or draw ✗80%1.261.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.95 ▲
Draw no betUniversidad Catolica (draw no bet) ✗73%1.37–
Asian handicapManta FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreUniversidad Catolica to score first ✗58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Universidad Catolica / FT Universidad Catolica ✗32%3.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

Manta FC – last 6

LLLDLL
22 Apr@ Leones del Norte0–3L
22 Mar@ LDU de Quito0–1L
18 Marvs Guayaquil City FC0–1L
10 Mar@ Orense SC1–1D
3 Marvs Independiente del Valle0–2L
24 Feb@ Libertad0–1L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 5

WDWDL
24 Aprvs Macara4–0W
9 Aprvs Emelec1–1D
17 Marvs Deportivo Cuenca1–0W
15 Mar@ LDU de Quito1–1D
13 Febvs Juventud3–4L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Universidad Catolica.

Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Universidad Catolica or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Manta FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universidad Catolica 55%.

How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Manta FC 0–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica?

Manta FC vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.