Manta FC 29%Draw 26%Macara 45%Expected goals 0.87 – 1.36
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMacara to win ✓45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Manta FC vs Macara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 11 May the Liga Pro brings Manta FC against Macara at Estadio Jocay. Kick-off: 00:10 WAT. In the table, Manta FC are 16th on 33 points after 36 matches; Macara are 2nd with 67. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Manta FC, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barcelona SC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Macara, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tigre, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Macara, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Manta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manta FC 0.9 xG, Macara 1.4 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manta FC 29%, draw 26%, Macara 45%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manta FC 1–1 Macara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manta FC29%fair 3.50 · @2.78
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.05
Macara45%fair 2.23 · @2.60
2.22Expected goals
0.87Manta FC xG
1.36Macara xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–011%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Manta FC 0.9 – 1.4 Macara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Macara to win✓
45%
2.23
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
2.00
Draw no bet
Macara (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Manta FC +1 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Macara to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Macara / FT Macara✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Recent results
Manta FC – last 6
DWLLLD
3 May
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Universidad Catolica
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Guayaquil City FC
0–1
L
10 Mar
@ Orense SC
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Macara – last 6
DWLWWD
7 May
vs Tigre
2–2
D
1 May
@ Alianza Atletico
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Universidad Catolica
0–4
L
20 Apr
vs Barcelona SC
3–1
W
16 Apr
@ Tigre
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manta FC and Macara.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Manta FC vs Macara?
On our numbers Manta FC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Macara 45%.
How many goals will there be in Manta FC vs Macara?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manta FC vs Macara?
Our predicted score is Manta FC 1–1 Macara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Manta FC vs Macara?
Manta FC vs Macara (Liga Pro) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jocay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
