Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 12 May: Mushuc Runa SC v LDU de Quito in the Liga Pro, played at Estadio Bellavista. In the table, Mushuc Runa SC are 12th on 43 points after 36 matches; LDU de Quito are 4th with 54.
Current form
Mushuc Runa SC, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barcelona SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
LDU de Quito, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mirassol, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mushuc Runa SC 1.0 xG, LDU de Quito 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mushuc Runa SC 31%, draw 26%, LDU de Quito 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 LDU de Quito. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mushuc Runa SC31%fair 3.24 · @2.98
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @3.25
LDU de Quito43%fair 2.34 · @2.32
2.33Expected goals
1.01Mushuc Runa SC xG
1.32LDU de Quito xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Mushuc Runa SC 1.0 – 1.3 LDU de Quito expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
LDU de Quito to win✓
43%
2.34
2.32
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.80
Draw no bet
LDU de Quito (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Mushuc Runa SC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.08
First team to score
LDU de Quito to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT LDU de Quito / FT LDU de Quito✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Mushuc Runa SC – last 5
LDWLD
23 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Libertad
2–2
D
23 Mar
vs Emelec
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Orense SC
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Macara
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
LDU de Quito – last 6
LLLDWL
7 May
@ Mirassol
0–2
L
28 Apr
@ Lanus
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Emelec
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Aucas
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Mirassol
2–0
W
11 Apr
@ Delfin SC
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mushuc Runa SC and LDU de Quito.
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
On our numbers Mushuc Runa SC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and LDU de Quito 43%.
How many goals will there be in Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
Our predicted score is Mushuc Runa SC 1–1 LDU de Quito, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito?
Mushuc Runa SC vs LDU de Quito (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
