Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAucas to win ✓62% · @1.37
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓84% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.02
Aucas vs Manta FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 26 May the Liga Pro brings Aucas against Manta FC at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Manta FC are 16th with 33. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aucas, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over San Antonio, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Manta FC, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Emelec, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Manta FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.6 xG, Manta FC 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 62%, draw 22%, Manta FC 16%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Manta FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aucas62%fair 1.62 · @1.37
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.30
Manta FC16%fair 6.28 · @9.60
2.32Expected goals
1.57Aucas xG
0.75Manta FC xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Aucas 1.6 – 0.7 Manta FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aucas to win✓
62%
1.62
1.37
Double chance
Aucas or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Aucas (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Manta FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.09
First team to score
Aucas to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aucas / FT Aucas✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Aucas – last 6
WLLWDW
21 May
@ San Antonio
3–0
W
17 May
@ Barcelona SC
0–3
L
2 May
@ Libertad
2–3
L
28 Apr
vs Delfin SC
1–0
W
23 Apr
@ LDU de Quito
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Manta FC – last 6
DLDWLL
18 May
vs Emelec
0–0
D
11 May
vs Macara
0–1
L
3 May
@ Barcelona SC
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Universidad Catolica
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Leones del Norte
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ LDU de Quito
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Manta FC.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Aucas vs Manta FC?
On our numbers Aucas have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manta FC 16%.
How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Manta FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Manta FC?
Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Manta FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aucas vs Manta FC?
Aucas vs Manta FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Tuesday 26 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
