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Guayaquil City FC v Independiente del Valle: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt
Guayaquil City FC 17%Draw 24%Independiente del Valle 59% Expected goals 0.85 – 1.80
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓59% · @1.69
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente del Valle travel to face Guayaquil City FC on Sunday 31 May in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt the venue – the ball rolls at 21:30 WAT. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Independiente del Valle are 1st with 84. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Orense SC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Independiente del Valle, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Rosario Central, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Feb 2026) it ended Independiente del Valle 2–0 Guayaquil City FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 0.9 xG, Independiente del Valle 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 17%, draw 24%, Independiente del Valle 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Independiente del Valle or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guayaquil City FC17%fair 5.84 · @5.10
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Independiente del Valle59%fair 1.70 · @1.69
2.65Expected goals
0.85Guayaquil City FC xG
1.80Independiente del Valle xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–07%
0–37%

From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 0.9 – 1.8 Independiente del Valle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓59%1.701.69
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓83%1.211.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.901.95
Draw no betIndependiente del Valle (draw no bet) ✓77%1.29–
Asian handicapGuayaquil City FC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.151.08
First team to scoreIndependiente del Valle to score first ✓63%1.59–
Half-time resultIndependiente del Valle ahead at half-time ✓43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle ✓37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

LLWWDW
19 Mayvs Orense SC0–1L
14 May@ Astillero FC (Ecu)1–2L
21 Apr@ Libertad1–0W
18 Apr@ Emelec3–1W
23 Marvs Leones del Norte0–0D
18 Mar@ Manta FC1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Independiente del Valle – last 6

WLWWWL
27 Mayvs Rosario Central1–0W
23 Mayvs Libertad2–3L
20 Mayvs Libertad Asuncion4–1W
13 May@ Universidad Catolica3–0W
10 Mayvs Barcelona SC1–0W
6 May@ UCV0–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Feb 2026Independiente del Valle v Guayaquil City FC2–0
Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Independiente del Valle 59%.

How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 0–1 Independiente del Valle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle?

Guayaquil City FC vs Independiente del Valle (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Christian Benitez Betancourt.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.