Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aucas v Guayaquil City FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda

Aucas

DWWLL
1–0
FT
Aucas 57%Draw 25%Guayaquil City FC 18% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.90
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAucas to win ✓57% · @1.41
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88

Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guayaquil City FC travel to face Aucas on Wednesday 8 July in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Aucas are 5th on 54 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48.

Current form

Aucas, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mushuc Runa SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Independiente del Valle, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aucas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Guayaquil City FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aucas 1.5 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aucas 57%, draw 25%, Guayaquil City FC 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.15.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aucas 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aucas57%fair 1.76 · @1.41
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @4.30
Guayaquil City FC18%fair 5.45 · @8.00
2.40Expected goals
1.50Aucas xG
0.90Guayaquil City FC xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Aucas 1.5 – 0.9 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAucas to win ✓57%1.761.41
Double chanceAucas or draw ✓82%1.221.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.892.15 ▲
Draw no betAucas (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapGuayaquil City FC +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreAucas to score first ✓57%1.76–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aucas / FT Aucas ✓31%3.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.88–

Recent results

Aucas – last 6

DWWLLW
31 May@ Mushuc Runa SC0–0D
26 Mayvs Manta FC3–1W
21 May@ San Antonio3–0W
17 May@ Barcelona SC0–3L
2 May@ Libertad2–3L
28 Aprvs Delfin SC1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

LLLWWD
31 Mayvs Independiente del Valle2–4L
19 Mayvs Orense SC0–1L
14 May@ Astillero FC (Ecu)1–2L
21 Apr@ Libertad1–0W
18 Apr@ Emelec3–1W
23 Marvs Leones del Norte0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aucas and Guayaquil City FC.

Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers Aucas have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guayaquil City FC 18%.

How many goals will there be in Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our predicted score is Aucas 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC?

Aucas vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Wednesday 8 July 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.